American foreign policy appears to be in disarray as Russia and China aggressively pursue territorial claims, international jihadists are on the offensive in an arc from North Africa to Central Asia, and international norms and institutions weaken. Yet the world is still much less dangerous than during the Cold War and the United States almost certainly more secure. What is changing is that U.S. global dominance, a given since the end of the Second World War, is eroding and other centers of power starting to emerge. Karl Eikenberry will explore the sources of disruption and discontinuity with the past, and describe how an effective American foreign policy must be grounded in the realities of today's world.
China’s rapid rise to power is challenging America's decades long global preeminence and giving rise to fears that, as Beijing’s leaders steadily drive to reclaim the Middle Kingdom’s historical greatness, future Sino-American conflict is inevitable. The gap is closing. Already, China has the world’s second largest gross domestic product and defense budget, and its global trade volume exceeds that of the United States. Yet on closer examination, the two nations are highly interdependent and the PRC itself faces extraordinary constraints as it attempts to reform its political-economic system. Karl Eikenberry, who served in Asian diplomatic and military posts for over three decades, will examine Sino-American competition and explore the opportunities and risks for the U.S.
Former U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan Karl Eikenberry will speak on Thursday, March 6, at Duke University about his experiences in Afghanistan and the future of the country following the withdrawal of U.S. troops.
Presidents Barack Obama and Xi Jinping have both recently emphasized military ties as an important component of a new model of relations between the United States and China. However, over the past 25 years, bilateral defense exchanges have suffered frequent reversals and results have been disappointing. Karl Eikenberry, whose career as a diplomat and soldier included many years of service in Asia and China, will identify the constraints inherent in building a sustainable program of Sino-American military contacts and suggest a framework for future defense relations.
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