Sometime in the next decade, the leadership of China has set as its mission to bring the vast interior of China—representing nearly two-thirds of its population—into the 21st century with one long pull. Imagine: a population twice the size of the United States suddenly becoming consumers of electricity, gasoline (for 500 million new cars!), housing, and the like. At the same time, how can such a 'new' China maintain a centralized, autocratic government? How do we in the West react to all this, and what will the impact be on China's neighbors (and potential competitors) from Taiwan and South Korea to Japan, and even Australia? How much of a role is there for western business, industry, and finance in facilitating this new Chinese revolution? David Andelman answers these questions, and more, in this forward-looking talk.
America and the West are losing the Revolution of the Arab Spring on a number of different levels. As has been the case for much of our relationship with the modern Middle East, back to the days following WWI, we are backing the wrong individuals, seizing on the wrong causes, and failing to understand or satisfy the most profound needs and desires of the people of the region—especially the young people. We are in so many ways at a crossroads here. For decades, we have been hostage to our support of Israel over the Palestinian cause. Suddenly, that is no longer center stage. We are at a point where we may still support Israel if we also support the forces of progressive change elsewhere in the region. This can, and should, equally be the posture of any corporation or business seeking to do business in the region. In this comprehensive and timely talk, David Andelman shows us that the right allies, suddenly, may also be the appropriate ones.
Democracy, in its various forms, is becoming the single greatest threat to global stability and indeed the individual stability of so many countries where the United States and its allies are anxious to cultivate its establishment. Yet nearly everywhere we look these days, nations where revolutionary forces are embracing this idea—all too often hoping to lure the West, and especially the U.S. into an alliance—are failing their people and the cause of democracy writ large. At the same time, the establishment of "democracy" in one form or another in no way assures economic stability, a solid investment climate, or job creation, which is the ultimate force for stability and growth. In this sweeping and timely talk, David Andelman points us to other factors, signposts, and metrics that are far more reliable indicators of social stability and economic expansion. He takes us to Saudi Arabia, where an entire generation of mall rats is transforming the social landscape, and to Russia, where a new form of autocratic democracy is growing to stability on a foundation of oil. New challenges are all around us, Andelman says; this keynote charts and embraces them.
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